Inflation Cools as Consumer Sentiment Wavers

Consumers are increasingly optimistic about inflation, with expectations reaching a post-pandemic low of 3% in October 2024, according to recent data sourced from Bloomberg. This marks a significant drop from the peak of 6.6% in mid-2022, signaling a positive shift in inflation expectations as price pressures continue to ease.

However, while inflation concerns have subsided, many Americans still express frustration over high prices, indicating a cautious outlook on personal finances and business conditions. The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index, highlighted in the second graph, shows that although sentiment has generally improved in line with inflation, there has been increased volatility in recent months.

In mid-2023, consumer sentiment peaked at 79%, fueled by hopes that inflationary pressures were easing. But as the campaign trail has heated up, and with the 2024 election looming, this optimism has faltered. The latest reading stands at 70.1%, reflecting growing uncertainty around the broader economic landscape. Many consumers remain skeptical about current conditions, despite lower inflation expectations, as concerns about personal finances and long-term stability persist.

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