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Market Snapshot
Starting today, MicroStrategy joins the Nasdaq-100—and its 2024 performance has been wild: +431.6% year-to-date
CEO Michael Saylor has been on a Bitcoin buying spree since Aug 2020, turning MSTR into less of a tech stock and more of a crypto proxy.
Value stocks are struggling to keep up. While the S&P 500 Growth Index has gained 41% YTD, the Value Index is up just 13.5%.
Healthcare and financial stocks have been major drags on performance, too.
Headline CPI ticked up to 2.7% YoY in November, up from 2.6% in October. Core CPI held steady at 3.3%.
While inflation is well below its highs from last year, it’s still above the Fed’s 2% target—and now at its highest level since July 2024..
The Magnificent 7 are crushing it.
In the past 6 months, the Equal Weight MAG7 index is up +27.7%, while the Equal Weight S&P 500 is up +11.8%...
In the last 10 years, an equal weight port of TSLA, AMZN, GOOGL, AAPL, META, MSFT, and NVDA would’ve returned 39.8% annually
Bitcoin’s longest winning streak since 2021.. Six weeks of gains.
Could we be seeing the same FOMO-fueled pattern now? The market likes to repeat itself.
Corporate America spent $924 billion on buybacks in 2024, just shy of the $950 billion record set in 2022.
Projections for 2025 suggest buybacks will surpass $1.08 trillion, the highest ever, according to Goldman Sachs.
Continuing jobless claims fell to 1.871M vs 1.904M est, but still near a 3-year high.
Initial jobless claims also rose to 224k, higher than 215k expected.
The largest increases were in Wisconsin (+1.9k), Pennsylvania (+647), and Kentucky (+483). The biggest decreases were in California (-9.8k), Texas (-6.4k), and Florida (-2.6k)
Job opening numbers came out: 7.74M vs 7.51M expected, pretty solid. Also, our 3-month moving average is still above pre-pandemic levels.
The demand for risk-managed ETFs is skyrocketing. In traditional markets, assets in buffer ETFs grew from $0 in 2018 to $47 billion in 2024.
Nvidia just posted another big earnings report, beating estimates for both revenue and profit. Q3 revenue hit $35.08 billion, up 94% from last year.
Despite this, Nvidia's revenue growth this quarter is lower than the triple-digit increases of the past three quarters (122%, 262%, and 265%)
Returns the last 2 years:
Russell 2000 +25.4% vs S&P MidCap 400 +28.3%
Small caps, suprisingly, aren't doing all that bad against their peers. Friendlier tax and regulation policies will boost this category
Daily national average gasoline price has fallen to the lowest since Jan 2023. Prices lower than $2.95 were last reported in late 2021.
Investors are borrowing more than ever to fuel their market positions. Margin debt hit $815 billion last month—a 28.3% jump in borrowing since Oct last year.
Small cap stocks have outperformed mid and large caps, posting a 3.9% gain compared to 2.2% for the S&P MidCap 400 and 1.5% for the S&P 500.
Friendlier tax and regulation policies from the Trump administration give a bost to small caps, which are more domestically focused.
The euro just dropped to $1.05—that's great news for European exporters. Cheaper prices abroad mean companies like BMW, LVMH, and others could see a bump in global sales.
But.. if Trump imposes tariffs on EU imports, these gains could reverse fast. For now, export-heavy stocks are enjoying the weaker euro
Inflation came ROSE last month to 2.6%. Core CPI also was in line with estimates at 3.3%
Both headline and core CPI inflation are higher than they were 2 months ago.
Berkshire Hathaway's recent Apple stock sale rocketed their cash to record highs.
Here's a visual of how the top 4 cryptocurrencies reacted following Wednesday's election results.
In just one month, Dogecoin grew +170%. Bitcoin is also up 30% in the same timeframe.
On Nov 6th, the S&P 500 just had it's best post-election trading day ever in history. This was also the best day since Nov 2022, up +2.5%.
We're calling this bounce in financial stocks the Trump Jump. After Wednesday's US election, stocks like Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo skyrocketed.
Investors are likely confident that Trump’s return means lighter regulations and friendlier conditions for banks.
Fun fact: If you spent $1M a day, it’d still take you 891 years to burn through all the cash on Berkshire’s balance sheet.
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When missiles start flying, oil prices usually go up—and traders are already betting on $100 per barrel. Something suprising is happening: the market isn’t panicking. Traders are watching, but things are calm so far, given the stakes. The recent tension between Israel and Iran is making people nervous
So, here we are again—another week where the market either flies or crashes, depending on a few numbers. We’ve got a jobs report that might tell us something new (or not), Tesla flexing its delivery muscles, and Nike hoping we all forget about their slipping revenue. Let'
Remember when OpenAI was all about building AI for the benefit of humanity? Well, things are getting a little more... complicated.
The Federal Reserve has slashed interest rates again, but this time, it’s not just about safety—it’s about finding new winners in the market.
The Fed is about to make its next move, and it could either save the economy or push it over the edge. With so much at stake, how big will the Fed’s first interest rate cut be?
Core inflation is still climbing, and the Fed can't cut rates just yet. Find out why rising shelter costs are keeping inflation high.
It's no secret that our job market looks far different than it did a few years ago. Since the Federal Reserve first raised interest rates in March 2022, the cost of borrowing has risen dramatically, slowing our economy significantly.
