Pepsi is Signaling Trouble for U.S. Consumers

If my paycheck had a voice, it would probably be crying right now. Grab a drink because we’re diving into the financial mess hitting our snack aisles.

On Thursday, PepsiCo and Conagra Brands reported weak quarterly results, telling us that U.S. consumers are feeling the squeeze.

PepsiCo saw a 4% drop in its’ Frito-Lay sales volumes and a 3% decline in beverages. Despite higher prices, revenue for Frito-Lay North America was still down 0.5%, while North America beverages saw a 1% increase. The company also cut its outlook for total organic sales growth from “at least” 4% to “approximately” 4%.

“The impacts of persistent inflationary pressures and higher borrowing costs over the last few years have resulted in tighter household financial conditions,” Pepsi’s managers said.

A better translation for that quote would be, "We’re all getting stingy because everything costs an arm and a leg."

Conagra Brands, known for Slim Jim and Marie Callender’s, reported a 2.4% decline in organic sales for the fiscal fourth quarter. Slight improvements in snack sales volume were noted due to price promotions, but they expect organic sales to range from down 1.5% to flat this fiscal year.

CEO Sean Connolly pointed out that returning to overall volume growth will be gradual 👇

“It’s not one of these events where we sprinkle a little money on the consumer and they forget they ever experienced runaway inflation,”

No kidding, Sean. We remember, and so do our wallets.

It could also be said that the rise in household debt highlights the financial strain on consumers → leading to cautious spending.

This supports why companies like PepsiCo and Conagra are seeing declining sales volumes despite efforts to adjust prices and products.

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Pepsi ended the day up 0.2%, while Conagra fell 1.5%. Over the last 12 months, both companies are down by double digits, while the S&P 500 is up around 26%.

If U.S. consumer sentiment keeps weakening, maintaining such market performance could be a tough nut to crack.

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